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Investment Opportunity Times Two – Or Is It Four
As of March 23, 2018, the S&P 500 (at $2,588.26) was down about 10% from its January 26, 2018 high of $2,872.87, and down about 3.2% for the year, possibly in anticipation of an impending trade war. .
In addition, interest rate-sensitive securities were trading near 52-week lows as bonds and other fixed-income speculators shed inventory in anticipation of at least three rate hikes. smooth 2018.
Obviously, such a market situation is challenging for him:
Major market participants (institutional investors) whose bond investments decline in price.
Stock market speculators in much too high PE and low or no dividend equities.
Income-focused investors (retirees and “soontobes”) whose positions in individual fixed income securities are unclear.
401k savings accounts whose pooled investment portfolios are, by design, heavily invested in equities.
However, it is a perfect storm of opportunity for Market Cycle Investment Management (MCIM) portfolios. The MCIM process focuses only on strong fundamentals, S&P B+ or equity of profitable, dividend paying, (Investment Grade Value Stocks). Individual stocks are not bought until they are trading 20% below their 52 week highs.
MCIM’s portfolios are diversified in several ways, and each security pays either dividends or interest. New issues, NASDAQ companies, and Mutual Funds have no place in MCIM’s portfolios, which also have strict controls on profits that eliminate the pain of watching big profits slip away during corrections. In addition, “cost-based” asset allocation prevents the need to “rebalance” a portfolio while determining annual income growth with an income-purpose asset allocation. in 40% or higher.
While markets are climbing to highs, the lack of individual equity investment opportunities is mitigated by the use of Closed End Funds (CEFs). These are managed, classically diversified, “real-time” tradable, cover most market segments and at the same time provide much higher income than normal (after expenses).
In the “bucket” income motive, well-diversified income CEFs (both taxable and tax-free) are used to ensure income in excess of the norm from all types of illiquid securities in general … securities that (in the form of CEFs) are magically available in fully liquid form.
How have IGVS equities and CEFs fared in the three major meltdowns of our lifetime?
In 1987, IGVS equities were the first to recover, and there were no company failures or share cuts; there were very few CEFs at the time and they were not a core portfolio, but individual interest rate sensitive securities were accumulated as interest rates fell.
In 1999, IGVS shares and most CEFs did not “bubble” with the NASDAQ, and rallied strongly during the flight to quality that followed the dot-com crash. “No NASDAQ, no new issues, no Mutual Funds” was a winning belief then, as it should be in the next big correction.
In 2008, it all came crashing down and two or three of the IGVS financial services companies were crushed in a government witch hunt. Overall, dividend cuts were few and far between, as IGVS companies rallied from the bottom at a slightly faster pace than the S&P 500 through 2014. Income CEFs, however, outperformed the entire stock market from 2007 to the end of 2012, while maintaining their shares until 2016 or so, when the tax-free CEF yield began to fall.
So, while some managed portfolios may face inherent, diversification and income concerns during corrections, MCIM portfolios have new investment opportunities. Although some investment portfolios need to reduce capital to pay monthly income to retirees, most MCIM portfolios have excess income that is used to grow capital in any market situation.
There are four types of investment opportunities as of this writing:
IGVS equities fall 20% below 52-week highs.
There are about forty mostly equity CEFs, representing a wide variety of market sectors, with a current yield between 7% and 9% after all fees and internal costs.
There are no less than sixty one CEF taxable income, representing a wide variety of security types, with a current yield between 7.5% and 9.5% after all costs and internal costs.
Thirty-one CEF leases have federal tax-free income paying between 6% and 6.6%, after all internal fees and charges.
For your long-term portfolio health, make sure you take advantage of them…this time. It has been ten years since the last significant correction in the market, and it only makes sense to use an investment medium that provides the necessary fuel to add to positions at lower prices. The clock is ticking.
The “add-on at lower prices” approach is particularly effective with CEFs, where all add-ons are:
Lowering your cost base, accelerating return on profit opportunities.
Increase your dividend yield on security, and.
Increase your annual portfolio income.
What is that old Boy Scout logo? Right…
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